Online Phenology Models and Degree-day Calculator
eggsimmaturedamageadult
spongy moth from Jan 1 [oak-maple]
invasive insect model of Sheehan-simpl.


Output from uspest.org/wea invasive insect degree-day/phenology model program:
	Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================ Model species/general links: spongy moth from Jan 1 [oak-maple] Type: invasive insect Model source/other links: Sheehan-simpl. Calculation method: single sine Lower threshold: 42 degrees Fahrenheit Upper threshold: 106 degrees Fahrenheit Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date No starting/BIOFIX date, set to: default date 1 1 Ending date: 7 0 Model validation status: experimental Region of known use: Midwest & PNW US ==============================EVENTS TABLE================================ 1. 346 DDs after Jan 1: 2% egg hatch 2. 596 DDs after Jan 1: Peak 1st instar 3. 871 DDs after Jan 1: Peak 2nd instar 4. 1052 DDs after Jan 1: Peak 3rd instar 5. 1274 DDs after Jan 1: Peak 4th instar 6. 1637 DDs after Jan 1: 2% pupation 7. 1727 DDs after Jan 1: Peak 5th and 6th instar 8. 2068 DDs after Jan 1: 50% pupation 9. 2180 DDs after Jan 1: 2% adult emergence 10. 2539 DDs after Jan 1: 50% adult emergence 11. 2646 DDs after Jan 1: Final 6th instars present 12. 3250 DDs after Jan 1: 98% adult emergence ==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================ Weather station: 2017 AW310135 AGWEATHERNET Outlook WA Lat46.4217 Long-120.1314 Elev:1295 The WSU AgWeatherNet Network has a policy that third parties do not share their weather data publicly; therefore we have removed it from our model outputs. We apologize for any inconvenience and urge extra caution in using any model that does not display weather data inputs. mn day max min precip DD42 CUMDD42 event -- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- ------- 1 1 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.0 * START *Vx Vn 1 2 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.0 1 3 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.0 1 4 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.0 1 5 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.0 1 6 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.0 1 7 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.0 1 8 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.0 1 9 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.0 1 10 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.0 1 11 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.0 1 12 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.0 1 13 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.0 1 14 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.0 1 15 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.0 1 16 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.0 1 17 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.0 1 18 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.0 1 19 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.03 0.0 1 20 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.0 1 21 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.02 0.0 1 22 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.0 1 23 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.0 1 24 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.0 1 25 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.0 1 26 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.0 1 27 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.0 1 28 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.0 Vx 1 29 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.0 Vx Vn 1 30 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.0 1 31 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.0 Vx 2 1 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.0 2 2 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.0 2 3 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.0 2 4 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.0 2 5 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.0 2 6 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.0 2 7 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.0 2 8 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 0.0 2 9 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 1.00 1.0 2 10 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 1.14 2.2 2 11 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.27 2.5 2 12 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 2.5 2 13 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 2.5 2 14 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 2.5 2 15 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 2.5 2 16 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.30 2.8 2 17 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.65 3.4 2 18 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 3.4 2 19 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.86 4.3 2 20 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.48 4.7 2 21 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 4.7 2 22 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.40 5.1 2 23 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.02 5.2 2 24 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 5.2 2 25 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 5.2 2 26 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 5.2 2 27 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.00 5.2 2 28 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.17 5.3 Vx 3 1 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 4.81 10.1 Vn 3 2 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 1.60 11.7 3 3 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 2.96 14.7 3 4 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 1.87 16.6 3 5 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.50 17.1 3 6 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.52 17.6 3 7 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 0.37 17.9 3 8 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 2.90 20.8 3 9 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 1.66 22.5 3 10 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 9.42 31.9 3 11 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 5.32 37.2 3 12 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 5.88 43.1 3 13 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 7.80 50.9 3 14 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 13.20 64.1 3 15 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 10.90 75.0 3 16 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 3.69 78.7 3 17 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 2.34 81.1 3 18 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 6.72 87.8 3 19 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 2.40 90.2 3 20 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 2.07 92.2 3 21 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 2.16 94.4 3 22 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 6.61 101.0 3 23 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 3.58 104.6 3 24 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 5.87 110.5 3 25 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 5.55 116.0 3 26 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 1.64 117.6 3 27 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 6.46 124.1 3 28 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 5.78 129.9 3 29 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 8.70 138.6 3 30 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 6.05 144.6 3 31 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 8.80 153.4 4 1 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 11.75 165.2 4 2 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 5.93 171.1 4 3 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 4.54 175.7 4 4 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 6.43 182.1 Hx Hn 4 5 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 9.30 191.4 4 6 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 11.75 203.1 4 7 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 6.89 210.0 4 8 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 3.73 213.8 4 9 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 3.77 217.5 4 10 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 5.62 223.2 4 11 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 4.36 227.5 4 12 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 6.65 234.2 4 13 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 6.12 240.3 4 14 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 5.51 245.8 4 15 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 4.98 250.8 4 16 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 9.23 260.0 4 17 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 10.41 270.4 4 18 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 9.94 280.4 4 19 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 9.11 289.5 4 20 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 9.62 299.1 4 21 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 8.55 307.6 4 22 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 10.13 317.8 4 23 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 8.87 326.6 4 24 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 7.40 334.0 4 25 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 8.97 343.0 4 26 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 8.49 351.5 2% egg hatch 4 27 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 6.31 357.8 4 28 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 9.21 367.0 4 29 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 7.10 374.1 4 30 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 9.57 383.7 5 1 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 5.96 389.7 5 2 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 11.41 401.1 5 3 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 21.80 422.9 5 4 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 28.15 451.0 5 5 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 17.90 468.9 5 6 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 10.07 479.0 5 7 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 10.51 489.5 5 8 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 13.39 502.9 5 9 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 16.30 519.2 5 10 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 21.05 540.2 5 11 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 13.50 553.7 5 12 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 7.81 561.5 5 13 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 6.85 568.4 5 14 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 8.33 576.7 5 15 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 9.27 586.0 5 16 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 9.30 595.3 5 17 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 12.97 608.3 Peak 1st instar 5 18 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 14.20 622.5 5 19 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 20.80 643.3 5 20 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 22.25 665.5 5 21 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 25.20 690.7 5 22 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 27.20 717.9 5 23 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 32.30 750.2 5 24 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 16.00 766.2 5 25 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 14.85 781.1 5 26 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 21.60 802.7 5 27 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 27.00 829.7 5 28 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 30.75 860.4 5 29 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 35.40 895.8 Peak 2nd instar 5 30 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 32.15 928.0 5 31 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 19.35 947.3 6 1 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 22.30 969.6 6 2 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 23.05 992.7 6 3 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 27.75 1020.4 6 4 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 22.05 1042.5 6 5 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 18.80 1061.3 Peak 3rd instar 6 6 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 28.65 1089.9 6 7 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 33.20 1123.1 6 8 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 17.90 1141.0 6 9 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 13.45 1154.5 6 10 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 12.75 1167.2 6 11 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 17.60 1184.8 6 12 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 24.20 1209.0 6 13 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 17.45 1226.5 Pn 6 14 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 13.90 1240.4 6 15 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 17.25 1257.6 6 16 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 18.30 1275.9 Peak 4th instar 6 17 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 19.70 1295.6 6 18 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 28.90 1324.5 6 19 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 35.30 1359.8 6 20 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 34.80 1394.6 6 21 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 27.70 1422.3 6 22 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 24.25 1446.6 6 23 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 27.95 1474.5 6 24 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 33.70 1508.2 6 25 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 37.60 1545.8 6 26 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 42.05 1587.9 6 27 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 33.50 1621.4 6 28 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 31.30 1652.7 2% pupation 6 29 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 29.60 1682.3 6 30 -9.99 -9.99 -9.99 32.90 1715.2 Extended Seasonal Forecast: NOAA NMME 7-month 1910 AW310135 PRISM_rev1_4km 2012-2021
spongy moth from Jan 1 model - Sheehan-simpl.
Location: 2017 AW310135 Outlook WA
Extended Seasonal Forecast: NOAA NMME
DateDDsEvent
 4-26-17 3522% egg hatch
 5-17-17 608Peak 1st instar
 5-29-17 896Peak 2nd instar
 6-5-17 1061Peak 3rd instar
 6-16-17 1276Peak 4th instar
 6-28-17 16532% pupation
 6-29-17 1741Peak 5th and 6th instar
degree-day graph of spongy moth from Jan 1 [oak-maple] Sheehan-simpl.