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Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================
Model species/general links: douglas-fir needle midge [fir]
Type: insect
Model source/other links: OSU OIPMC model analysis
Calculation method: single sine
Lower threshold: 39 degrees Fahrenheit
Upper threshold: 110 degrees Fahrenheit
Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date
No starting/BIOFIX date, set to: default date 1 1
Ending date: 7 0
Model validation status: under development - unvalidated
Region of known use: now testing in W. Oregon
==============================EVENTS TABLE================================
1. 435 DDs after Jan 1: Approx. time to put up traps
2. 581 DDs after Jan 1: 5% adult catch in traps
3. 758 DDs after Jan 1: 50% or peak adult catch in traps
4. 927 DDs after Jan 1: 95% adult catch in traps
==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================
Weather station: 2017 E2625 APRSWXNET EW2625 Tempe AZ Lat33.3792 Long:-111.8958 Elev:1194
mn day max min precip DD39 CUMDD39 event
-- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- -------
1 1 56.30 50.50 0.00 14.40 14.4 * START *Vx Vn
1 2 57.00 47.40 0.00 13.20 27.6 Vn
1 3 61.00 44.00 0.00 13.50 41.1
1 4 67.00 44.00 0.00 16.50 57.6
1 5 68.00 46.00 0.00 18.00 75.6
1 6 65.00 48.00 0.00 17.50 93.1
1 7 66.00 48.00 0.00 18.00 111.1
1 8 74.00 46.00 0.00 21.00 132.1
1 9 67.00 52.00 0.00 20.50 152.6
1 10 70.00 48.00 0.00 20.00 172.6
1 11 66.00 48.00 0.00 18.00 190.6
1 12 69.00 45.00 0.00 18.00 208.6
1 13 67.00 54.00 0.00 21.50 230.1
1 14 67.00 55.00 0.06 22.00 252.1
1 15 61.00 51.00 0.02 17.00 269.1
1 16 62.00 46.00 0.00 15.00 284.1
1 17 62.00 42.00 0.00 13.00 297.1
1 18 66.00 42.00 0.00 15.00 312.1
1 19 58.00 46.00 0.11 13.00 325.1
1 20 53.00 46.00 0.63 10.50 335.6
1 21 58.00 45.00 0.00 12.50 348.1
1 22 61.00 43.00 0.00 13.00 361.1
1 23 62.00 49.00 0.00 16.50 377.6
1 24 56.00 41.00 0.00 9.50 387.1
1 25 57.00 36.00 0.00 7.99 395.1
1 26 57.00 36.00 0.00 7.99 403.1
1 27 58.00 37.00 0.00 8.76 411.8
1 28 64.00 39.00 0.00 12.50 424.3
1 29 72.00 39.00 0.00 16.50 440.8 Approx. time to put up traps
1 30 75.00 49.00 0.00 23.00 463.8
1 31 73.00 43.00 0.00 19.00 482.8
2 1 75.00 42.00 0.00 19.50 502.3
2 2 73.00 46.00 0.00 20.50 522.8
2 3 72.00 48.00 0.00 21.00 543.8
2 4 75.00 43.00 0.00 20.00 563.8
2 5 76.00 45.00 0.00 21.50 585.3 5% adult catch in traps
2 6 67.00 53.00 0.00 21.00 606.3
2 7 73.00 50.00 0.00 22.50 628.8
2 8 76.00 54.00 0.00 26.00 654.8
2 9 81.00 56.00 0.00 29.50 684.3
2 10 84.00 54.00 0.00 30.00 714.3
2 11 77.00 56.00 0.00 27.50 741.8
2 12 73.00 60.00 0.00 27.50 769.3 50% or peak adult catch in traps
2 13 73.00 58.00 0.00 26.50 795.8
2 14 74.00 56.00 0.00 26.00 821.8
2 15 74.00 56.00 0.00 26.00 847.8
2 16 75.00 49.00 0.00 23.00 870.8
2 17 75.00 55.00 0.12 26.00 896.8
2 18 67.00 50.00 0.62 19.50 916.3
2 19 61.00 49.00 0.24 16.00 932.3 95% adult catch in traps
2 20 68.00 48.00 0.00 19.00 951.3
2 21 75.00 49.00 0.00 23.00 974.3
2 22 78.00 54.00 0.00 27.00 1001.3
2 23 62.00 48.00 0.00 16.00 1017.3
2 24 62.00 40.00 0.00 12.00 1029.3
2 25 66.00 40.00 0.00 14.00 1043.3
2 26 68.60 52.00 0.00 21.30 1064.6 Vx
2 27 66.50 45.00 0.00 16.75 1081.4 Vx Vn
2 28 65.40 50.50 0.00 18.95 1100.3 Vx Vn
3 1 71.40 45.30 0.19 19.35 1119.7 Vx Vn
3 2 77.00 52.00 0.00 25.50 1145.2
3 3 79.00 55.00 0.00 28.00 1173.2
3 4 80.00 51.00 0.00 26.50 1199.7
3 5 75.00 57.00 0.00 27.00 1226.7
3 6 67.00 49.00 0.00 19.00 1245.7
3 7 75.00 44.00 0.00 20.50 1266.2
3 8 83.00 46.00 0.00 25.50 1291.7
3 9 85.00 53.00 0.00 30.00 1321.7
3 10 89.00 55.00 0.00 33.00 1354.7
3 11 89.00 57.00 0.00 34.00 1388.7
3 12 88.00 59.00 0.00 34.50 1423.2
3 13 92.00 61.00 0.00 37.50 1460.7
3 14 93.00 63.00 0.00 39.00 1499.7
3 15 92.00 62.00 0.00 38.00 1537.7
3 16 93.00 64.00 0.00 39.50 1577.2
3 17 93.00 63.00 0.00 39.00 1616.2
3 18 96.00 64.00 0.00 41.00 1657.2
3 19 95.00 63.00 0.00 40.00 1697.2
3 20 91.00 65.00 0.00 39.00 1736.2
3 21 92.80 61.90 0.00 38.35 1774.5 Vx Vn
3 22 83.00 62.00 0.05 33.50 1808.0
3 23 69.00 54.00 0.05 22.50 1830.5
3 24 78.00 52.00 0.00 26.00 1856.5
3 25 81.00 54.00 0.00 28.50 1885.0
3 26 81.00 55.00 0.00 29.00 1914.0
3 27 83.00 57.00 0.01 31.00 1945.0
3 28 77.00 56.00 0.01 27.50 1972.5
3 29 84.00 56.00 0.00 31.00 2003.5
3 30 89.00 56.00 0.00 33.50 2037.0
3 31 68.00 53.00 0.00 21.50 2058.5
4 1 72.00 50.00 0.00 22.00 2080.5
4 2 81.00 52.00 0.00 27.50 2108.0
4 3 85.00 53.70 0.00 30.35 2138.4 Hn
4 4 81.70 54.00 0.00 28.85 2167.2 Hx Hn
4 5 83.60 66.00 0.00 35.80 2203.0 Hx
4 6 91.00 60.80 0.00 36.90 2239.9 Vn
4 7 90.00 61.00 0.00 36.50 2276.4
4 8 87.00 59.00 0.00 34.00 2310.4
4 9 79.00 58.00 0.00 29.50 2339.9
4 10 85.00 52.00 0.00 29.50 2369.4
4 11 90.00 55.00 0.00 33.50 2402.9
4 12 91.00 56.40 0.00 34.70 2437.6 Vn
4 13 94.00 62.00 0.00 39.00 2476.6
4 14 90.00 58.00 0.00 35.00 2511.6
4 15 88.00 57.00 0.00 33.50 2545.1
4 16 91.00 59.00 0.00 36.00 2581.1
4 17 94.00 61.00 0.00 38.50 2619.6
4 18 95.00 63.00 0.00 40.00 2659.6
4 19 90.00 69.00 0.00 40.50 2700.1
4 20 92.00 60.00 0.00 37.00 2737.1
4 21 94.00 61.00 0.00 38.50 2775.6
4 22 96.00 63.00 0.00 40.50 2816.1
4 23 99.00 67.00 0.00 44.00 2860.1
4 24 92.00 67.00 0.00 40.50 2900.6
4 25 85.00 69.00 0.00 38.00 2938.6
4 26 89.00 63.00 0.00 37.00 2975.6
4 27 89.00 67.00 0.00 39.00 3014.6
4 28 85.00 66.00 0.00 36.50 3051.1
4 29 81.00 57.00 0.00 30.00 3081.1
4 30 86.00 56.00 0.00 32.00 3113.1
5 1 92.00 58.00 0.00 36.00 3149.1
5 2 95.00 62.00 0.00 39.50 3188.6
5 3 100.00 68.00 0.00 45.00 3233.6
5 4 103.00 72.00 0.00 48.50 3282.1
5 5 107.00 74.00 0.00 51.50 3333.6
5 6 98.00 73.00 0.00 46.50 3380.1
5 7 74.00 63.00 0.00 29.50 3409.6
5 8 82.00 58.00 0.03 31.00 3440.6
5 9 76.00 56.00 0.02 27.00 3467.6
5 10 79.00 59.00 0.00 30.00 3497.6
5 11 90.00 63.00 0.00 37.50 3535.1
5 12 98.00 74.00 0.00 47.00 3582.1
5 13 99.00 69.00 0.00 45.00 3627.1
5 14 94.00 65.00 0.00 40.50 3667.6
5 15 88.00 67.00 0.00 38.50 3706.1
5 16 77.00 64.00 0.00 31.50 3737.6
5 17 86.00 59.00 0.00 33.50 3771.1
5 18 85.00 66.00 0.00 36.50 3807.6
5 19 87.00 60.00 0.00 34.50 3842.1
5 20 94.00 63.00 0.00 39.50 3881.6
5 21 100.00 67.00 0.00 44.50 3926.1
5 22 103.00 83.00 0.00 54.00 3980.1
5 23 104.00 74.00 0.00 50.00 4030.1
5 24 107.00 74.00 0.00 51.50 4081.6
5 25 101.00 76.00 0.00 49.50 4131.1
5 26 96.00 69.00 0.00 43.50 4174.6
5 27 98.30 66.00 0.00 43.15 4217.8 Px
5 28 101.00 69.00 0.00 46.00 4263.8
5 29 104.60 68.70 0.00 47.65 4311.4 Px Pn
5 30 102.70 71.80 0.00 48.25 4359.7 Px Pn
5 31 100.00 74.40 0.00 48.20 4407.9 Pn
6 1 99.00 76.00 0.00 48.50 4456.4
6 2 102.00 71.00 0.00 47.50 4503.9
6 3 106.00 76.00 0.00 52.00 4555.9
6 4 106.00 80.00 0.00 54.00 4609.9
6 5 107.00 82.00 0.00 55.50 4665.4
6 6 106.00 80.00 0.00 54.00 4719.4
6 7 107.00 78.00 0.00 53.50 4772.9
6 8 104.00 76.00 0.00 51.00 4823.9
6 9 106.00 78.00 0.00 53.00 4876.9
6 10 102.00 75.00 0.00 49.50 4926.4
6 11 101.00 74.00 0.00 48.50 4974.9
6 12 94.00 69.00 0.00 42.50 5017.4
6 13 96.00 67.00 0.00 42.50 5059.9
6 14 104.00 64.00 0.00 45.00 5104.9
6 15 108.00 68.00 0.00 49.00 5153.9
6 16 109.00 73.00 0.00 52.00 5205.9
6 17 108.00 75.00 0.00 52.50 5258.4
6 18 111.00 77.00 0.00 54.93 5313.3
6 19 116.00 80.00 0.00 57.94 5371.3
6 20 120.00 84.00 0.00 60.69 5432.0
6 21 116.00 86.00 0.00 60.84 5492.8
6 22 112.00 85.00 0.00 59.27 5552.1
6 23 112.00 86.00 0.00 59.76 5611.8
6 24 114.00 86.00 0.00 60.35 5672.2
6 25 115.00 93.00 0.00 63.96 5736.1
6 26 111.00 88.00 0.00 60.41 5796.5
6 27 110.00 84.00 0.00 58.00 5854.5 Px
6 28 109.00 81.00 0.00 56.00 5910.5
6 29 106.00 81.00 0.00 54.50 5965.0
6 30 109.00 80.00 0.00 55.50 6020.5
Extended Seasonal Forecast: NOAA NMME 7-month 1910 E2625 PRISM_rev1_4km 2012-2021
douglas-fir needle midge model - OSU OIPMC model analysisLocation: 2017 E2625 EW2625 Tempe AZ Extended Seasonal Forecast: NOAA NMME | Date | DDs | Event |
| 1-29-17 | 441 | Approx. time to put up traps |
| 2-5-17 | 585 | 5% adult catch in traps |
| 2-12-17 | 769 | 50% or peak adult catch in traps |
| 2-19-17 | 932 | 95% adult catch in traps |
![degree-day graph of douglas-fir needle midge [fir] OSU OIPMC model analysis](/cgi-bin/ddplotj.pl?1518947)
