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Output from uspest.org/wea crop degree-day/phenology model program:
Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================
Model species/general links: canary seed
Type: crop
Model source/other links: Miller MSU, Miller et al. 2001
Calculation method: simp avg/grow
Lower threshold: 32 degrees Fahrenheit
Setting upper threshold to: 130 F (default)
Directions for starting/BIOFIX: planting date
No starting/BIOFIX date, set to: default date 4 1
Ending date: 7 0
Model validation status: partly validated
Region of known use: Montana
==============================EVENTS TABLE================================
1. 270 DD after biofix 0.9-germination: coleoptyle breaks through soil
2. 330 DD after biofix 1.1-1st leaf of cereals unfolded
3. 630 DD after biofix 2.1-1st tiller visible
4. 930 DD after biofix 3.1-1st node detectable
5. 1230 DD after biofix 4.1-flag leaf sheath extended
6. 1530 DD after biofix 5.1-tip of flower emerged, 1st spikelet just visible
7. 1830 DD after biofix 6.1-flowering commences; 1st anthers visable
8. 2130 DD after biofix 7.1-grains in milk stage; half final size
9. 2550 DD after biofix 8.5-grains in soft dough stage, contents soft but dry, fingernail impression does not hold
10. 2760 DD after biofix 9.2-cereals dead ripe and hard, cannot be divided by thumbnail
==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================
Weather station: 2017 MAPJ AZ_ALERT Pima Rd. @ Jomax Rd. AZ Lat:33.7197 Long:-111.8900 Elev:2178
mn day max min precip DD32 CUMDD32 event
-- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- -------
4 1 74.00 54.00 0.00 32.00 32.0 * START *
4 2 80.00 55.00 0.00 35.50 67.5
4 3 80.00 60.00 0.00 38.00 105.5
4 4 77.10 53.50 0.00 33.30 138.8 Hx Hn
4 5 82.00 64.00 0.00 41.00 179.8
4 6 86.00 63.00 0.00 42.50 222.3
4 7 86.00 64.00 0.00 43.00 265.3
4 8 84.00 65.00 0.00 42.50 307.8 0.9-germination: coleoptyle breaks through soil
4 9 79.00 57.00 0.00 36.00 343.8 1.1-1st leaf of cereals unfolded
4 10 76.00 55.00 0.00 33.50 377.3
4 11 78.00 56.00 0.00 35.00 412.3
4 12 87.00 56.00 0.00 39.50 451.8
4 13 87.00 66.00 0.00 44.50 496.3
4 14 85.00 61.00 0.00 41.00 537.3
4 15 85.00 61.00 0.00 41.00 578.3
4 16 87.00 64.00 0.00 43.50 621.8
4 17 95.00 64.00 0.00 47.50 669.3 2.1-1st tiller visible
4 18 90.00 72.00 0.00 49.00 718.3
4 19 86.00 65.00 0.00 43.50 761.8
4 20 87.00 64.00 0.00 43.50 805.3
4 21 89.00 65.00 0.00 45.00 850.3
4 22 91.00 66.00 0.00 46.50 896.8
4 23 91.00 71.00 0.00 49.00 945.8 3.1-1st node detectable
4 24 86.00 68.00 0.00 45.00 990.8
4 25 84.00 67.00 0.00 43.50 1034.3
4 26 84.00 63.00 0.00 41.50 1075.8
4 27 84.00 67.00 0.00 43.50 1119.3
4 28 83.00 62.00 0.00 40.50 1159.8
4 29 80.00 56.00 0.00 36.00 1195.8
4 30 84.00 60.00 0.00 40.00 1235.8 4.1-flag leaf sheath extended
5 1 88.00 64.00 0.00 44.00 1279.8
5 2 90.00 67.00 0.00 46.50 1326.3
5 3 94.00 68.00 0.00 49.00 1375.3
5 4 96.00 75.00 0.00 53.50 1428.8
5 5 98.00 76.00 0.00 55.00 1483.8
5 6 90.00 72.00 0.00 49.00 1532.8 5.1-tip of flower emerged, 1st spikelet just visible
5 7 73.00 61.00 0.00 35.00 1567.8
5 8 80.00 60.00 0.00 38.00 1605.8
5 9 73.00 58.00 0.00 33.50 1639.3
5 10 77.00 58.00 0.00 35.50 1674.8
5 11 86.00 62.00 0.00 42.00 1716.8
5 12 90.00 72.00 0.00 49.00 1765.8
5 13 91.00 67.00 0.00 47.00 1812.8
5 14 87.00 67.00 0.00 45.00 1857.8 6.1-flowering commences; 1st anthers visable
5 15 82.00 66.00 0.00 42.00 1899.8
5 16 76.00 59.00 0.00 35.50 1935.3
5 17 81.00 60.00 0.00 38.50 1973.8
5 18 82.00 64.00 0.00 41.00 2014.8
5 19 85.00 62.00 0.00 41.50 2056.3
5 20 91.00 68.00 0.00 47.50 2103.8
5 21 94.00 71.00 0.00 50.50 2154.3 7.1-grains in milk stage; half final size
5 22 97.00 73.00 0.00 53.00 2207.3
5 23 97.00 77.00 0.00 55.00 2262.3
5 24 97.00 73.00 0.00 53.00 2315.3
5 25 92.00 73.00 0.00 50.50 2365.8
5 26 89.00 72.00 0.00 48.50 2414.3
5 27 91.00 66.00 0.00 46.50 2460.8
5 28 94.00 72.00 0.00 51.00 2511.8
5 29 97.00 74.00 0.00 53.50 2565.3 8.5-grains in soft dough stage, contents soft but dry, fingernail impression does not hold
5 30 96.00 73.00 0.00 52.50 2617.8
5 31 94.00 74.00 0.00 52.00 2669.8
6 1 92.00 72.00 0.00 50.00 2719.8
6 2 95.00 69.00 0.00 50.00 2769.8 9.2-cereals dead ripe and hard, cannot be divided by thumbnail
6 3 99.00 75.00 0.00 55.00 2824.8
6 4 99.00 76.00 0.00 55.50 2880.3
6 5 100.00 77.00 0.00 56.50 2936.8
6 6 99.00 77.00 0.00 56.00 2992.8
6 7 98.00 75.00 0.00 54.50 3047.3
6 8 97.00 75.00 0.00 54.00 3101.3
6 9 97.00 76.00 0.00 54.50 3155.8
6 10 94.00 72.00 0.00 51.00 3206.8
6 11 92.00 71.00 0.00 49.50 3256.3
6 12 87.00 68.00 0.00 45.50 3301.8
6 13 92.00 65.00 0.00 46.50 3348.3
6 14 97.00 71.00 0.00 52.00 3400.3
6 15 100.00 74.00 0.00 55.00 3455.3
6 16 101.00 73.00 0.00 55.00 3510.3
6 17 101.00 76.00 0.00 56.50 3566.8
6 18 104.00 76.00 0.00 58.00 3624.8
6 19 108.00 81.00 0.00 62.50 3687.3
6 20 109.00 87.00 0.00 66.00 3753.3
6 21 108.00 85.00 0.00 64.50 3817.8
6 22 103.00 82.00 0.00 60.50 3878.3
6 23 102.00 79.00 0.00 58.50 3936.8
6 24 105.00 81.00 0.00 61.00 3997.8
6 25 105.00 89.00 0.00 65.00 4062.8
6 26 102.00 81.00 0.00 59.50 4122.3
6 27 101.00 81.00 0.00 59.00 4181.3
6 28 99.00 76.00 0.00 55.50 4236.8
6 29 105.00 76.00 0.00 58.50 4295.3
6 30 105.00 81.00 0.00 61.00 4356.3
Forecast using: 1910 MAPJ PRISM_rev1_4km 2007-2016 AVERAGES Lat33.7197 Long-111.8900 DD50
canary seed Miller MSULocation: 2017 MAPJ Pima Rd. @ 1910 MAPJ PRISM_rev1_4km 2007-2016 AVERAGES | Date | DDs | Event |
| 4-8-17 | 308 | 0.9-germination: coleoptyle breaks through soil |
| 4-9-17 | 344 | 1.1-1st leaf of cereals unfolded |
| 4-17-17 | 669 | 2.1-1st tiller visible |
| 4-23-17 | 946 | 3.1-1st node detectable |
| 4-30-17 | 1236 | 4.1-flag leaf sheath extended |
| 5-6-17 | 1533 | 5.1-tip of flower emerged, 1st spikelet just visible |
| 5-14-17 | 1858 | 6.1-flowering commences; 1st anthers visable |
| 5-21-17 | 2154 | 7.1-grains in milk stage; half final size |
| 5-29-17 | 2565 | 8.5-grains in soft dough stage, contents soft but dry, fingernail impression does not hold |
| 6-2-17 | 2770 | 9.2-cereals dead ripe and hard, cannot be divided by thumbnail |
