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crop model of Miller MSU, Miller et al. 2001 |
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Output from uspest.org/wea crop degree-day/phenology model program: Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================ Model species/general links: canola (B. rapa, Pol) Type: crop Model source/other links: Miller MSU, Miller et al. 2001 Calculation method: simp avg/grow Lower threshold: 32 degrees Fahrenheit Setting upper threshold to: 130 F (default) Directions for starting/BIOFIX: planting date No starting/BIOFIX date, set to: default date 4 1 Ending date: 7 0 Model validation status: partly validated Region of known use: Montana ==============================EVENTS TABLE================================ 1. 260 DD after biofix 0.9-germination: shoot breaks through soil 2. 320 DD after biofix 1.1-1st true leaf unfolded 3. 350 DD after biofix 1.2-2nd true leaf unfolded 4. 900 DD after biofix 3.1-1st visibly detected internode 5. 1490 DD after biofix 5.1-flower buds just visible (green bud) 6. 1720 DD after biofix 5.9-1st flower buds yellow but still closed (yellow bud) 7. 1780 DD after biofix 6.1-10% of flowers are open or 10% bloom 8. 2070 DD after biofix 7.1-10% of pods have reached final size 9. 2360 DD after biofix 8.1-10% of seeds changed color (any brown detectable) 10. 2460 DD after biofix 8.4-40% of seeds changed color 11. 2590 DD after biofix 8.9-nearly all seeds changed color, pods ripe and dry 12. 2830 DD after biofix 9.7-plants dead and dry, ready for harvest ==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================ Weather station: 2017 E1448 APRSWXNET EW1448 Cottonwood AZ Lat34.6867 Long:-112.0311 Elev:3792 mn day max min precip DD32 CUMDD32 event -- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- ------- 4 1 62.50 37.70 0.00 18.10 18.1 * START *Vx Vn 4 2 73.70 41.20 0.00 25.45 43.6 Vx Vn 4 3 70.40 40.60 0.00 23.50 67.1 Hx Hn 4 4 71.60 39.80 0.00 23.70 90.8 Hx Hn 4 5 73.70 42.50 0.00 26.10 116.8 Hx Hn 4 6 81.80 48.20 0.00 33.00 149.8 Vx Vn 4 7 76.50 51.80 0.00 32.15 182.0 Vx Vn 4 8 75.00 54.30 0.00 32.65 214.7 Vx Vn 4 9 69.10 46.50 0.00 25.80 240.4 Vx Vn 4 10 75.70 44.10 0.00 27.90 268.4 Vx Vn 0.9-germination: shoot breaks through soil 4 11 76.70 46.50 0.00 29.60 298.0 Vx Vn 4 12 82.50 50.50 0.00 34.50 332.5 Vx Vn 1.1-1st true leaf unfolded 4 13 80.20 50.90 0.00 33.55 366.0 Vx Vn 1.2-2nd true leaf unfolded 4 14 78.00 58.00 0.00 36.00 402.0 4 15 74.00 51.00 0.00 30.50 432.5 4 16 82.00 59.00 0.15 38.50 471.0 4 17 81.00 62.00 0.00 39.50 510.5 4 18 84.00 64.00 0.00 42.00 552.5 4 19 82.00 62.00 0.36 40.00 592.5 4 20 83.00 57.00 0.10 38.00 630.5 4 21 84.00 54.00 5.83 37.00 667.5 Vn 4 22 84.00 61.00 1.48 40.50 708.0 4 23 85.00 62.00 0.00 41.50 749.5 4 24 79.00 63.00 0.00 39.00 788.5 4 25 77.00 58.00 0.00 35.50 824.0 4 26 77.00 51.00 0.00 32.00 856.0 4 27 79.20 63.00 0.00 39.10 895.1 Vx 4 28 70.00 54.00 0.00 30.00 925.1 3.1-1st visibly detected internode 4 29 68.90 48.00 0.00 26.45 951.6 Vx 4 30 80.00 55.00 0.00 35.50 987.1 5 1 84.00 49.20 0.00 34.60 1021.7 Vn 5 2 87.00 55.10 0.00 39.05 1060.7 Vn 5 3 89.00 63.20 0.00 44.10 1104.8 Vn 5 4 94.00 59.00 0.00 44.50 1149.3 5 5 94.00 68.00 0.00 49.00 1198.3 5 6 82.00 64.50 0.00 41.25 1239.5 Vn 5 7 66.00 52.00 0.00 27.00 1266.5 5 8 77.00 56.00 0.16 34.50 1301.0 5 9 62.00 46.00 0.10 22.00 1323.0 5 10 65.00 49.00 1.65 25.00 1348.0 5 11 86.00 57.00 1.83 39.50 1387.5 5 12 86.00 57.20 1.83 39.60 1427.1 Pn 5 13 83.00 51.00 0.00 35.00 1462.1 Px 5 14 78.00 63.00 0.00 38.50 1500.6 5.1-flower buds just visible (green bud) 5 15 73.00 63.00 0.00 36.00 1536.6 5 16 69.00 47.50 0.00 26.25 1562.9 Pn 5 17 73.00 44.70 0.00 26.85 1589.7 Pn 5 18 68.00 51.00 4.46 27.50 1617.2 5 19 76.00 55.00 3.61 33.50 1650.7 5 20 84.20 49.00 0.00 34.60 1685.3 Px Pn 5 21 92.10 52.00 0.00 40.05 1725.4 Px Pn 5.9-1st flower buds yellow but still closed (yellow bud) 5 22 93.20 58.90 0.00 44.05 1769.4 Px Pn 5 23 96.70 57.80 0.00 45.25 1814.7 Px Pn 6.1-10% of flowers are open or 10% bloom 5 24 97.50 58.20 0.00 45.85 1860.5 Px Pn 5 25 87.00 65.20 0.00 44.10 1904.6 Px Pn 5 26 82.70 59.80 0.00 39.25 1943.9 Px Pn 5 27 89.70 51.20 0.00 38.45 1982.3 Px Pn 5 28 94.40 56.70 0.00 43.55 2025.9 Px Pn 5 29 95.10 61.60 0.00 46.35 2072.2 Px Pn 7.1-10% of pods have reached final size 5 30 94.90 59.10 0.00 45.00 2117.2 Px Pn 5 31 91.70 57.30 0.00 42.50 2159.7 Px Pn 6 1 88.00 59.30 0.01 41.65 2201.4 Pn 6 2 97.00 74.00 0.00 53.50 2254.9 6 3 100.00 62.70 0.00 49.35 2304.2 Pn 6 4 100.20 65.50 0.00 50.85 2355.1 Px Pn 6 5 100.00 64.90 0.00 50.45 2405.5 Pn 8.1-10% of seeds changed color (any brown detectable) 6 6 100.00 78.00 0.00 57.00 2462.5 8.4-40% of seeds changed color 6 7 97.00 77.00 0.00 55.00 2517.5 Px 6 8 95.00 60.70 0.00 45.85 2563.4 Px Pn 6 9 96.30 62.00 0.00 47.15 2610.5 Px Pn 8.9-nearly all seeds changed color, pods ripe and dry 6 10 88.30 58.50 0.00 41.40 2651.9 Px Pn 6 11 86.00 72.00 0.00 47.00 2698.9 6 12 83.00 58.80 0.00 38.90 2737.8 Pn 6 13 91.00 50.10 0.00 38.55 2776.4 Pn 6 14 99.00 52.80 0.00 43.90 2820.3 Pn 6 15 102.00 73.00 0.00 55.50 2875.8 9.7-plants dead and dry, ready for harvest 6 16 104.00 58.90 0.00 49.45 2925.2 Pn 6 17 105.00 63.40 0.00 52.20 2977.4 Pn 6 18 111.00 66.60 0.00 56.80 3034.2 Pn 6 19 110.00 72.70 0.00 59.35 3093.6 Pn 6 20 113.00 86.00 0.00 67.50 3161.1 6 21 111.00 73.00 0.00 60.00 3221.1 Pn 6 22 108.00 87.00 0.00 65.50 3286.6 6 23 109.00 71.10 0.00 58.05 3344.6 Pn 6 24 112.40 72.00 0.00 60.20 3404.8 Px Pn 6 25 103.00 73.50 0.04 56.25 3461.1 Pn 6 26 100.00 79.00 0.00 57.50 3518.6 6 27 102.00 77.00 0.00 57.50 3576.1 6 28 97.00 71.00 0.00 52.00 3628.1 6 29 100.00 75.00 0.00 55.50 3683.6 6 30 104.00 63.30 0.00 51.65 3735.2 Pn Extended Seasonal Forecast: NOAA NMME 7-month 1910 E1448 PRISM_rev1_4km 2012-2021