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crop model of Miller MSU, Miller et al. 2001 |
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Output from uspest.org/wea crop degree-day/phenology model program: Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================ Model species/general links: canola (B. napus, Arg) Type: crop Model source/other links: Miller MSU, Miller et al. 2001 Calculation method: simp avg/grow Lower threshold: 32 degrees Fahrenheit Setting upper threshold to: 130 F (default) Directions for starting/BIOFIX: planting date No starting/BIOFIX date, set to: default date 1 1 Ending date: 7 0 Model validation status: partly validated Region of known use: Montana ==============================EVENTS TABLE================================ 1. 270 DD after biofix 0.9-germination: shoot breaks through soil 2. 330 DD after biofix 1.1-1st true leaf unfolded 3. 410 DD after biofix 1.4-4th true leaf unfolded 4. 920 DD after biofix 3.1-1st visibly detected internode 5. 1510 DD after biofix 5.1-flower buds just visible (green bud) 6. 1750 DD after biofix 5.9-1st flower buds yellow but still closed (yellow bud) 7. 1810 DD after biofix 6.1-10% of flowers are open or 10% bloom 8. 2100 DD after biofix 7.1-10% of pods have reached final size 9. 2400 DD after biofix 8.1-10% of seeds changed color (any brown detectable) 10. 2490 DD after biofix 8.4-40% of seeds changed color 11. 2640 DD after biofix 8.9-nearly all seeds changed color, pods ripe and dry 12. 2870 DD after biofix 9.7-plants dead and dry, ready for harvest ==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================ Weather station: 2017 KCCR METAR Concord Buchanan Fld CA Lat:37.9917 Long:-122.0517 Elev:23 mn day max min precip DD32 CUMDD32 event -- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- ------- 1 1 55.40 42.10 0.01 16.75 16.8 * START * 1 2 53.60 42.10 0.20 15.85 32.6 1 3 57.90 46.00 0.84 19.95 52.6 1 4 57.90 46.40 0.35 20.15 72.7 1 5 52.00 35.10 0.00 11.55 84.2 1 6 48.20 30.20 0.03 7.20 91.5 1 7 61.00 41.00 0.75 19.00 110.5 1 8 64.00 57.00 1.30 28.50 138.9 1 9 60.80 51.10 0.33 23.95 162.9 1 10 60.80 53.60 1.68 25.20 188.1 1 11 57.20 46.40 0.17 19.80 207.9 1 12 50.00 42.80 0.04 14.40 222.3 1 13 60.80 35.60 0.02 16.20 238.5 1 14 55.90 35.60 0.01 13.75 252.2 1 15 54.00 37.90 0.01 13.95 266.2 1 16 55.40 35.60 0.01 13.50 279.7 0.9-germination: shoot breaks through soil 1 17 48.90 35.10 0.01 10.00 289.7 1 18 53.60 44.00 0.83 16.80 306.5 1 19 60.80 48.20 0.21 22.50 329.0 1 20 55.90 46.40 0.65 19.15 348.1 1.1-1st true leaf unfolded 1 21 55.90 46.00 0.41 18.95 367.1 1 22 59.00 46.00 0.61 20.50 387.6 1 23 53.60 42.80 0.09 16.20 403.8 1 24 55.40 41.00 0.01 16.20 420.0 1.4-4th true leaf unfolded 1 25 57.20 35.60 0.01 14.40 434.4 1 26 58.00 41.00 0.01 17.50 451.9 1 27 60.80 35.10 0.01 15.95 467.8 1 28 60.80 35.60 0.01 16.20 484.0 1 29 63.00 33.80 0.01 16.40 500.4 1 30 61.00 35.10 0.01 16.05 516.5 1 31 57.90 35.10 0.01 14.50 531.0 2 1 52.00 42.10 0.08 15.05 546.0 2 2 66.20 48.00 0.18 25.10 571.1 2 3 62.60 55.00 0.74 26.80 597.9 2 4 61.00 50.00 0.01 23.50 621.4 2 5 64.40 46.40 0.15 23.40 644.8 2 6 59.00 55.00 0.83 25.00 669.8 2 7 64.40 55.40 0.86 27.90 697.7 2 8 66.20 57.00 0.11 29.60 727.3 2 9 64.40 57.20 0.52 28.80 756.1 2 10 64.40 51.10 0.03 25.75 781.9 2 11 64.90 44.60 0.00 22.75 804.6 2 12 66.90 39.90 0.01 21.40 826.0 2 13 64.90 41.00 0.01 20.95 847.0 2 14 66.90 44.10 0.00 23.50 870.5 2 15 63.00 48.00 0.05 23.50 894.0 2 16 66.90 53.10 0.13 28.00 922.0 3.1-1st visibly detected internode 2 17 59.00 51.80 0.60 23.40 945.4 2 18 61.00 50.00 0.02 23.50 968.9 2 19 59.00 48.20 0.29 21.60 990.5 2 20 60.80 55.00 1.15 25.90 1016.4 2 21 60.80 48.90 0.20 22.85 1039.2 2 22 57.00 41.00 0.00 17.00 1056.2 2 23 55.40 39.00 0.00 15.20 1071.4 2 24 55.90 35.60 0.00 13.75 1085.2 2 25 57.20 39.00 0.00 16.10 1101.3 2 26 60.80 35.10 0.10 15.95 1117.2 2 27 57.20 39.00 0.65 16.10 1133.3 2 28 60.80 37.00 0.00 16.90 1150.2 3 1 64.90 37.40 0.00 19.15 1169.4 3 2 68.00 39.00 0.00 21.50 1190.9 3 3 69.10 42.10 0.00 23.60 1214.5 3 4 61.00 50.00 2.45 23.50 1238.0 3 5 54.00 42.10 0.28 16.05 1254.0 3 6 57.90 42.80 0.16 18.35 1272.4 3 7 60.80 39.20 0.00 18.00 1290.4 3 8 70.00 42.10 0.00 24.05 1314.4 3 9 73.90 48.20 0.00 29.05 1343.5 3 10 73.40 53.60 0.00 31.50 1375.0 3 11 77.00 50.00 0.00 31.50 1406.5 3 12 79.00 48.90 0.00 31.95 1438.4 3 13 77.00 46.40 0.00 29.70 1468.1 3 14 80.60 50.00 0.00 33.30 1501.4 3 15 69.80 53.10 0.00 29.45 1530.9 5.1-flower buds just visible (green bud) 3 16 73.90 53.10 0.00 31.50 1562.4 3 17 77.00 46.40 0.00 29.70 1592.1 3 18 70.00 53.10 0.00 29.55 1621.6 3 19 70.00 53.60 0.00 29.80 1651.4 3 20 62.10 53.10 0.47 25.60 1677.0 3 21 66.90 57.00 0.42 29.95 1707.0 3 22 63.00 50.00 0.03 24.50 1731.5 3 23 64.40 42.80 0.00 21.60 1753.1 5.9-1st flower buds yellow but still closed (yellow bud) 3 24 57.90 51.80 0.24 22.85 1775.9 3 25 66.00 50.00 0.00 26.00 1801.9 3 26 64.40 50.00 0.07 25.20 1827.1 6.1-10% of flowers are open or 10% bloom 3 27 66.90 46.40 0.00 24.65 1851.8 3 28 75.20 44.10 0.00 27.65 1879.4 3 29 78.80 50.00 0.00 32.40 1911.8 3 30 68.00 53.60 0.00 28.80 1940.6 3 31 73.90 48.20 0.00 29.05 1969.7 4 1 79.00 46.90 0.00 30.95 2000.6 4 2 81.00 51.10 0.00 34.05 2034.7 4 3 77.00 48.20 0.00 30.60 2065.3 4 4 69.00 44.00 0.00 24.50 2089.8 Hx Hn 4 5 75.20 52.00 0.00 31.60 2121.4 7.1-10% of pods have reached final size 4 6 66.00 50.00 0.95 26.00 2147.4 4 7 66.20 50.00 0.59 26.10 2173.5 4 8 59.00 45.00 0.13 20.00 2193.5 4 9 64.40 39.20 0.00 19.80 2213.3 4 10 68.00 44.10 0.00 24.05 2237.3 4 11 68.00 53.60 0.01 28.80 2266.2 4 12 68.00 55.40 0.06 29.70 2295.8 4 13 63.00 48.90 0.06 23.95 2319.8 4 14 66.20 42.10 0.00 22.15 2341.9 4 15 69.10 42.10 0.00 23.60 2365.5 4 16 60.10 48.00 0.21 22.05 2387.6 4 17 64.40 55.00 0.14 27.70 2415.3 8.1-10% of seeds changed color (any brown detectable) 4 18 70.00 53.10 0.19 29.55 2444.8 4 19 70.00 46.40 0.39 26.20 2471.0 4 20 71.60 51.80 0.81 29.70 2500.7 8.4-40% of seeds changed color 4 21 79.00 48.20 0.00 31.60 2532.3 4 22 70.00 51.10 0.00 28.55 2560.9 4 23 71.60 53.10 0.00 30.35 2591.2 4 24 63.00 53.10 0.00 26.05 2617.3 4 25 70.00 51.80 0.00 28.90 2646.2 8.9-nearly all seeds changed color, pods ripe and dry 4 26 69.80 55.90 0.00 30.85 2677.0 4 27 75.90 50.00 0.00 30.95 2708.0 4 28 77.00 48.00 0.00 30.50 2738.5 4 29 82.90 48.90 0.00 33.90 2772.4 4 30 84.90 50.00 0.00 35.45 2807.8 5 1 91.40 55.00 0.00 41.20 2849.0 5 2 93.20 60.10 0.00 44.65 2893.7 9.7-plants dead and dry, ready for harvest 5 3 95.00 62.60 0.00 46.80 2940.5 5 4 84.90 57.00 0.00 38.95 2979.4 5 5 75.90 54.00 0.00 32.95 3012.4 5 6 69.80 51.10 0.00 28.45 3040.8 5 7 77.00 51.80 0.00 32.40 3073.2 5 8 82.40 51.80 0.00 35.10 3108.3 5 9 89.60 53.10 0.00 39.35 3147.7 5 10 68.00 52.00 0.00 28.00 3175.7 5 11 72.00 51.80 0.00 29.90 3205.6 5 12 69.80 51.10 0.00 28.45 3234.0 5 13 70.00 48.90 0.00 27.45 3261.5 5 14 71.60 48.20 0.00 27.90 3289.4 5 15 73.90 51.10 0.00 30.50 3319.9 5 16 68.00 51.10 0.00 27.55 3347.4 5 17 75.90 51.80 0.00 31.85 3379.3 5 18 86.00 51.10 0.00 36.55 3415.8 5 19 91.40 55.00 0.00 41.20 3457.0 5 20 93.90 57.00 0.00 43.45 3500.5 5 21 95.00 57.00 0.00 44.00 3544.5 5 22 93.00 55.00 0.00 42.00 3586.5 5 23 90.00 55.00 0.00 40.50 3627.0 5 24 73.90 53.60 0.00 31.75 3658.7 5 25 70.00 55.40 0.00 30.70 3689.4 5 26 70.00 54.00 0.00 30.00 3719.4 5 27 77.00 53.10 0.00 33.05 3752.5 5 28 80.60 53.60 0.00 35.10 3787.6 5 29 72.00 53.60 0.00 30.80 3818.4 5 30 73.40 53.60 0.02 31.50 3849.9 5 31 81.00 55.40 0.13 36.20 3886.1 6 1 81.00 57.20 0.00 37.10 3923.2 6 2 90.00 57.00 0.00 41.50 3964.7 6 3 84.90 57.20 0.00 39.05 4003.7 6 4 84.20 55.40 0.00 37.80 4041.5 6 5 90.00 53.60 0.00 39.80 4081.3 6 6 84.90 55.00 0.00 37.95 4119.3 6 7 80.10 55.40 0.00 35.75 4155.0 6 8 71.60 60.10 0.01 33.85 4188.9 6 9 75.20 57.00 0.00 34.10 4223.0 6 10 75.00 55.00 0.00 33.00 4256.0 6 11 71.60 53.10 0.00 30.35 4286.4 6 12 73.90 53.60 0.00 31.75 4318.1 6 13 84.20 53.60 0.00 36.90 4355.0 6 14 90.00 59.00 0.00 42.50 4397.5 6 15 91.40 59.00 0.00 43.20 4440.7 6 16 97.00 64.40 0.00 48.70 4489.4 6 17 100.40 69.10 0.00 52.75 4542.1 6 18 108.00 73.00 0.00 58.50 4600.6 6 19 93.00 66.00 0.00 47.50 4648.1 6 20 100.40 62.10 0.00 49.25 4697.4 6 21 99.00 62.10 0.00 48.55 4745.9 6 22 105.10 66.00 0.00 53.55 4799.5 6 23 91.40 62.60 0.00 45.00 4844.5 6 24 88.00 59.00 0.00 41.50 4886.0 6 25 82.40 59.00 0.00 38.70 4924.7 6 26 80.60 60.10 0.00 38.35 4963.1 6 27 81.00 59.00 0.00 38.00 5001.1 6 28 87.80 57.00 0.00 40.40 5041.4 6 29 89.60 57.00 0.00 41.30 5082.8 6 30 84.20 55.40 0.00 37.80 5120.6 Forecast using: 1910 KCCR PRISM_rev1_4km 2007-2016 AVERAGES Lat37.9917 Long-122.0517 DD50