|
Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================
Model species/general links: cabbage maggot - Delia radicum (L.)
Type: insect
Model source/other links: UC Extension, OSU DDs info cards (pdf)
Calculation method: single sine
Lower threshold: 39.7 degrees Fahrenheit
Upper threshold: 86 degrees Fahrenheit
Directions for starting/BIOFIX: calendar date
No starting/BIOFIX date, set to: default date 1 1
Ending date: 7 31
Model validation status: partly validated
Region of known use: Pacific Northwest
==============================EVENTS TABLE================================
1. 360 DD after Jan 1: Initial spring emergence (10%)
2. 601 DD after Jan 1: Spring peak emergence (50%)
3. 750 DD after Jan 1: Egg-laying notes a) need plants at least 30 days after planting
4. 900 DD after Jan 1: notes b) Prefer maturing plants with developing roots, > 7 leaves
5. 1050 DD after Jan 1: notes c) At least 7 days after peak flight
6. 1200 DD after Jan 1: notes d) Lasts ca. 5 weeks, mostly during 2 weeks
7. 1521 DD after Jan 1: End of spring flight (95%)
8. 3849 DD after Jan 1: Fall flight begins
9. 5160 DD after Jan 1: Fall flight ends approx. first frost
==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================
Weather station: 2017 REST2 WTEXAS Lubbock (Reese) 12W TX Lat:33.6075 Long:-102.0489 Elev:3347
mn day max min precip DD39 CUMDD39 event
-- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- -------
1 1 65.30 30.10 0.00 10.19 10.2 * START *
1 2 60.80 38.10 0.00 9.93 20.1
1 3 47.60 30.60 0.00 2.41 22.5
1 4 49.90 27.30 0.00 3.06 25.6
1 5 42.60 14.50 0.00 0.40 26.0
1 6 21.10 8.90 0.00 0.00 26.0
1 7 36.90 4.40 0.00 0.00 26.0
1 8 65.30 21.90 0.00 8.97 35.0
1 9 79.20 32.40 0.00 17.34 52.3
1 10 66.10 44.70 0.00 15.70 68.0
1 11 78.90 37.00 0.00 18.54 86.6
1 12 66.50 37.20 0.00 12.46 99.0
1 13 39.40 30.10 0.00 0.00 99.0
1 14 34.50 31.60 0.00 0.00 99.0
1 15 39.80 31.60 0.00 0.00 99.0
1 16 55.40 32.60 0.00 6.04 105.1
1 17 53.80 30.50 0.00 5.02 110.1
1 18 57.00 40.30 0.00 8.95 119.0
1 19 63.50 38.70 0.00 11.49 130.5
1 20 61.30 39.10 0.00 10.54 141.1
1 21 59.60 38.30 0.00 9.40 150.5
1 22 60.20 38.00 0.00 9.60 160.1
1 23 72.50 30.70 0.00 13.71 173.8
1 24 63.50 36.20 0.00 10.69 184.5
1 25 47.20 31.00 0.00 2.29 186.7
1 26 49.10 20.00 0.00 2.35 189.1
1 27 44.00 21.20 0.00 0.81 189.9
1 28 52.10 19.60 0.00 3.39 193.3
1 29 62.90 24.50 0.00 8.24 201.5
1 30 69.80 27.80 0.00 11.87 213.4
1 31 73.90 36.00 0.00 15.75 229.2
2 1 61.50 36.90 0.00 9.91 239.1
2 2 45.90 22.70 0.00 1.40 240.5
2 3 44.80 23.90 0.00 1.10 241.6
2 4 56.20 31.00 0.00 6.15 247.7
2 5 77.60 31.80 0.00 16.42 264.1
2 6 74.90 36.10 0.00 16.27 280.4
2 7 74.70 42.00 0.00 18.65 299.0
2 8 76.90 46.10 0.00 21.80 320.8
2 9 68.40 32.50 0.00 12.15 333.0
2 10 87.00 41.00 0.00 24.24 357.2
2 11 89.20 44.50 0.00 26.78 384.0 Initial spring emergence (10%)
2 12 68.40 43.20 0.00 16.10 400.1
2 13 43.30 33.30 0.00 0.95 401.1
2 14 38.60 35.80 0.00 0.00 401.1
2 15 56.70 30.00 0.00 6.23 407.3
2 16 64.60 29.60 0.00 9.78 417.1
2 17 73.80 34.00 0.00 15.13 432.2
2 18 69.90 35.00 0.00 13.49 445.7
2 19 68.90 49.40 0.00 19.45 465.2
2 20 68.70 40.40 0.00 14.85 480.0
2 21 80.00 31.80 0.00 17.58 497.6
2 22 83.90 44.10 0.00 24.30 521.9
2 23 78.80 47.50 0.00 23.45 545.3
2 24 59.90 29.80 0.00 7.65 553.0
2 25 52.40 21.60 0.00 3.63 556.6
2 26 64.80 32.90 0.00 10.51 567.1
2 27 74.00 28.90 0.00 14.05 581.2
2 28 75.80 50.60 0.00 23.50 604.7 Spring peak emergence (50%)
3 1 56.80 27.80 0.00 5.99 610.7
3 2 63.10 23.70 0.00 8.23 618.9
3 3 62.10 30.10 0.00 8.71 627.6
3 4 68.40 34.60 0.00 12.65 640.3
3 5 78.90 48.10 0.00 23.80 664.1
3 6 79.70 49.60 0.00 24.95 689.0
3 7 62.20 29.90 0.00 8.72 697.7
3 8 78.50 32.80 0.00 17.11 714.8
3 9 85.10 52.10 0.00 28.90 743.7
3 10 63.40 38.60 0.00 11.40 755.1 Egg-laying notes a) need plants at least 30 days after planting
3 11 63.40 39.20 0.00 11.63 766.8
3 12 62.80 34.90 0.00 10.01 776.8
3 13 63.60 37.80 0.00 11.22 788.0
3 14 79.20 39.30 0.00 19.57 807.6
3 15 69.70 34.70 0.00 13.31 820.9
3 16 87.20 47.80 0.00 27.71 848.6
3 17 85.20 42.40 0.00 24.10 872.7
3 18 81.00 48.20 0.00 24.90 897.6
3 19 89.10 47.00 0.00 27.99 925.6 notes b) Prefer maturing plants with developing roots, > 7 leaves
3 20 91.40 52.00 0.00 31.14 956.7
3 21 90.60 51.40 0.00 30.62 987.3
3 22 75.20 44.60 0.00 20.20 1007.5
3 23 80.70 58.70 0.00 30.00 1037.5
3 24 66.90 44.30 0.00 15.90 1053.4 notes c) At least 7 days after peak flight
3 25 73.50 40.00 0.00 17.05 1070.5
3 26 77.20 47.60 0.00 22.70 1093.2
3 27 74.20 36.60 0.00 16.08 1109.3
3 28 76.40 53.00 0.00 25.00 1134.3
3 29 52.50 42.40 0.00 7.75 1142.0
3 30 76.50 39.30 0.00 18.22 1160.2
3 31 83.00 43.20 0.00 23.40 1183.6
4 1 56.50 44.00 0.00 10.55 1194.2
4 2 59.90 41.20 0.00 10.85 1205.0 notes d) Lasts ca. 5 weeks, mostly during 2 weeks
4 3 79.80 39.40 0.00 19.91 1224.9
4 4 72.50 36.70 0.00 15.27 1240.2 Hx Hn
4 5 63.10 37.30 0.00 10.81 1251.0 Hn
4 6 73.80 37.30 0.00 16.11 1267.1
4 7 79.70 45.10 0.00 22.70 1289.8
4 8 90.00 51.00 0.00 30.25 1320.1
4 9 85.80 56.10 0.00 31.25 1351.3
4 10 70.70 51.50 0.00 21.40 1372.7
4 11 74.00 46.70 0.00 20.65 1393.4
4 12 67.30 54.90 0.00 21.40 1414.8
4 13 71.80 51.30 0.00 21.85 1436.6
4 14 75.40 57.60 0.00 26.80 1463.4
4 15 81.80 60.40 0.00 31.40 1494.8
4 16 82.00 58.60 0.00 30.60 1525.4 End of spring flight (95%)
4 17 79.30 50.50 0.00 25.20 1550.6
4 18 83.70 55.10 0.00 29.70 1580.3
4 19 88.50 58.40 0.00 33.44 1613.8
4 20 74.00 54.10 0.00 24.35 1638.1
4 21 84.90 51.80 0.00 28.65 1666.8
4 22 64.10 45.50 0.00 15.10 1681.9
4 23 70.60 37.50 0.00 14.59 1696.5
4 24 91.40 44.00 0.00 27.22 1723.7
4 25 83.60 55.80 0.00 30.00 1753.7
4 26 67.30 46.90 0.00 17.40 1771.1
4 27 86.80 45.50 0.00 26.40 1797.5
4 28 83.00 50.50 0.00 27.05 1824.5
4 29 54.50 35.80 0.00 6.22 1830.8
4 30 63.70 34.90 0.00 10.45 1841.2
5 1 76.30 39.80 0.00 18.35 1859.6
5 2 90.00 48.20 0.00 28.87 1888.4
5 3 70.20 49.90 0.00 20.35 1908.8
5 4 73.70 41.80 0.00 18.05 1926.8
5 5 82.20 42.40 0.00 22.60 1949.4
5 6 89.50 53.70 0.00 31.43 1980.9
5 7 87.10 58.90 0.00 33.21 2014.1
5 8 77.20 59.60 0.00 28.70 2042.8
5 9 77.00 62.90 0.00 30.25 2073.0
5 10 80.50 58.70 0.00 29.90 2102.9
5 11 74.10 48.60 0.00 21.65 2124.6
5 12 77.30 49.50 0.00 23.70 2148.3
5 13 85.30 49.60 0.00 27.75 2176.0
5 14 94.80 58.70 0.00 35.16 2211.2
5 15 91.30 64.60 0.00 37.23 2248.4
5 16 90.10 61.70 0.00 35.53 2283.9
5 17 82.60 54.40 0.00 28.80 2312.7
5 18 87.60 58.40 0.00 33.14 2345.9
5 19 79.00 52.60 0.00 26.10 2372.0
5 20 75.20 43.70 0.00 19.75 2391.7
5 21 75.70 53.90 0.00 25.10 2416.8
5 22 76.90 50.30 0.00 23.90 2440.7
5 23 68.60 48.20 0.00 18.70 2459.4
5 24 87.00 44.10 0.00 25.79 2485.2
5 25 99.10 53.50 0.00 33.53 2518.7
5 26 94.40 58.20 0.00 34.84 2553.6
5 27 94.80 61.70 0.00 36.57 2590.1
5 28 82.20 54.20 0.00 28.50 2618.6
5 29 83.90 49.90 0.00 27.20 2645.8
5 30 87.10 56.10 0.00 31.81 2677.6
5 31 84.80 57.90 0.00 31.65 2709.3
6 1 82.60 56.00 0.00 29.60 2738.9
6 2 83.20 59.40 0.00 31.60 2770.5
6 3 83.30 61.20 0.00 32.55 2803.0
6 4 84.90 59.80 0.00 32.65 2835.7
6 5 88.70 58.00 0.00 33.31 2869.0
6 6 89.50 61.30 0.00 35.17 2904.2
6 7 89.80 61.70 0.00 35.45 2939.6
6 8 90.70 62.40 0.00 36.02 2975.6
6 9 92.50 62.10 0.00 36.30 3011.9
6 10 100.10 67.60 0.00 40.01 3051.9
6 11 100.20 69.00 0.00 40.61 3092.6
6 12 98.80 69.30 0.00 40.59 3133.2
6 13 99.20 69.10 0.00 40.55 3173.7
6 14 100.00 64.40 0.00 38.60 3212.3
6 15 99.00 67.20 0.00 39.70 3252.0
6 16 101.80 66.50 0.00 39.73 3291.7
6 17 109.50 66.20 0.00 40.31 3332.0
6 18 80.90 69.30 0.00 35.40 3367.4
6 19 88.00 65.20 0.00 36.65 3404.1
6 20 96.00 70.50 0.00 40.77 3444.9
6 21 98.70 70.00 0.00 40.88 3485.7
6 22 97.90 67.40 0.00 39.65 3525.4
6 23 98.40 76.50 0.00 43.51 3568.9
6 24 80.90 61.50 0.00 31.50 3600.4
6 25 87.00 67.70 0.00 37.55 3638.0
6 26 81.60 58.40 0.00 30.30 3668.3
6 27 89.40 63.80 0.00 36.37 3704.6
6 28 95.40 69.20 0.00 40.11 3744.7
6 29 104.00 67.70 0.00 40.45 3785.2
6 30 98.30 71.40 0.00 41.43 3826.6
7 1 84.10 61.90 0.00 33.30 3859.9 Fall flight begins
7 2 88.00 62.70 0.00 35.41 3895.3
7 3 93.00 63.70 0.00 37.16 3932.5
7 4 94.30 64.80 0.00 37.92 3970.4
7 5 85.80 62.40 0.00 34.40 4004.8
7 6 88.00 65.90 0.00 36.99 4041.8
7 7 90.50 66.30 0.00 37.86 4079.7
7 8 90.70 68.20 0.00 38.82 4118.5
7 9 92.60 68.10 0.00 39.15 4157.6
7 10 93.90 65.80 0.00 38.32 4195.9
7 11 92.20 70.40 0.00 40.15 4236.1
7 12 92.10 68.40 0.00 39.20 4275.3
7 13 89.50 66.70 0.00 37.81 4313.1
7 14 88.70 63.80 0.00 36.17 4349.3
7 15 92.20 64.60 0.00 37.42 4386.7
7 16 91.00 64.20 0.00 36.97 4423.7
7 17 92.60 65.80 0.00 38.07 4461.7
7 18 92.40 68.70 0.00 39.40 4501.1
7 19 93.10 70.90 0.00 40.53 4541.7
7 20 94.50 67.30 0.00 39.11 4580.8
7 21 95.40 68.70 0.00 39.89 4620.7
7 22 96.20 68.90 0.00 40.09 4660.8
7 23 91.70 67.60 0.00 38.74 4699.5
7 24 92.80 71.40 0.00 40.72 4740.2
7 25 95.40 69.30 0.00 40.16 4780.4
7 26 96.60 73.50 0.00 42.14 4822.5
7 27 95.30 69.70 0.00 40.32 4862.8
7 28 95.60 68.20 0.00 39.69 4902.5
7 29 95.90 68.50 0.00 39.87 4942.4
7 30 89.70 74.30 0.00 41.51 4983.9
7 31 81.40 64.80 0.00 33.40 5017.3
Forecast using: 1910 REST2 PRISM_rev1_4km 2007-2016 AVERAGES Lat33.6075 Long-102.0489 DD50
cabbage maggot - UC ExtensionLocation: 2017 REST2 Lubbock (Reese) 12W 1910 REST2 PRISM_rev1_4km 2007-2016 AVERAGES | Date | DDs | Event |
| 2-11-17 | 384 | Initial spring emergence (10%) |
| 2-28-17 | 605 | Spring peak emergence (50%) |
| 3-10-17 | 755 | Egg-laying notes a) need plants at least 30 days after planting |
| 3-19-17 | 926 | notes b) Prefer maturing plants with developing roots, > 7 leaves |
| 3-24-17 | 1053 | notes c) At least 7 days after peak flight |
| 4-2-17 | 1205 | notes d) Lasts ca. 5 weeks, mostly during 2 weeks |
| 4-16-17 | 1525 | End of spring flight (95%) |
| 7-1-17 | 3860 | Fall flight begins |
