|
Output from uspest.org/wea insect degree-day/phenology model program:
Heat Units and predictions of key events from daily weather data
==============================MODEL INPUTS================================
Model species/general links: black cutworm Mich. State Univ. [vegetables]
Type: insect
Model source/other links: UC Davis
Calculation method: single sine
Lower threshold: 50 degrees Fahrenheit
Upper threshold: 86 degrees Fahrenheit
Directions for starting/BIOFIX: peak captures in pheromone traps
Starting/BIOFIX date: 5 15
Ending date: 7 0
Model validation status: partly validated
Region of known use: Pacific Northwest
==============================EVENTS TABLE================================
1. 80 DD after biofix First egg laying
2. 180 DD after biofix First egg hatch
3. 400 DD after biofix Small larvae
4. 500 DD after biofix First 4th instar
5. 700 DD after biofix Large larvae
6. 820 DD after biofix First pupae
7. 1000 DD after biofix Last large larvae
8. 1250 DD after biofix First adults
==============================MODEL OUTPUT================================
Weather station: 2017 D3006 APRSWXNET Harrisburg DW3006 AR Lat35.6647 Long:-90.7061 Elev:246
mn day max min precip DD50 CUMDD50 event
-- --- ----- ----- ------ ---- ------- -------
5 15 82.00 60.00 0.00 21.00 21.0 * START *
5 16 85.00 68.00 0.00 26.50 47.5
5 17 86.00 71.00 0.00 28.50 76.0
5 18 86.00 73.00 0.00 29.50 105.5 First egg laying
5 19 86.00 72.00 0.00 29.00 134.5
5 20 77.00 65.00 0.00 21.00 155.5
5 21 75.00 59.00 0.00 17.00 172.5
5 22 74.00 59.00 0.00 16.50 189.0 First egg hatch
5 23 75.00 59.00 0.00 17.00 206.0
5 24 65.00 56.00 0.00 10.50 216.5
5 25 75.00 53.00 0.00 14.00 230.5
5 26 81.00 66.00 0.00 23.50 254.0
5 27 87.00 63.00 0.00 24.91 278.9
5 28 79.00 65.00 0.00 22.00 300.9
5 29 83.00 64.00 0.00 23.50 324.4
5 30 85.00 65.00 0.00 25.00 349.4
5 31 84.00 62.00 0.00 23.00 372.4
6 1 85.00 68.00 0.00 26.50 398.9
6 2 85.00 66.00 0.00 25.50 424.4 Small larvae
6 3 86.00 70.00 0.00 28.00 452.4
6 4 79.00 72.00 0.00 25.50 477.9
6 5 78.00 71.00 0.00 24.50 502.4 First 4th instar
6 6 84.00 68.00 0.00 26.00 528.4
6 7 81.00 64.00 0.00 22.50 550.9
6 8 79.00 61.00 0.00 20.00 570.9
6 9 83.00 58.00 0.00 20.50 591.4
6 10 85.00 64.00 0.00 24.50 615.9
6 11 88.00 71.00 0.00 29.21 645.1
6 12 89.00 75.00 0.00 31.40 676.5
6 13 89.00 74.00 0.00 30.92 707.4 Large larvae
6 14 90.00 76.00 0.00 32.06 739.5
6 15 89.00 73.00 0.00 30.44 769.9
6 16 85.00 70.00 0.00 27.50 797.4
6 17 89.00 69.00 0.00 28.50 825.9 First pupae
6 18 87.00 73.00 0.00 29.89 855.8
6 19 87.00 71.00 0.00 28.89 884.7
6 20 90.00 69.00 0.00 28.74 913.5
6 21 87.00 72.00 0.00 29.39 942.8
6 22 86.00 76.00 0.00 31.00 973.8
6 23 87.00 71.00 0.00 28.89 1002.7 Last large larvae
6 24 80.00 68.00 0.00 24.00 1026.7
6 25 84.00 66.00 0.00 25.00 1051.7
6 26 84.00 67.00 0.00 25.50 1077.2
6 27 82.00 66.00 0.00 24.00 1101.2
6 28 86.00 69.00 0.00 27.50 1128.7
6 29 86.00 73.00 0.00 29.50 1158.2
6 30 84.00 74.00 0.00 29.00 1187.2
Forecast using: 1910 D3006 PRISM_rev1_4km 2007-2016 AVERAGES Lat35.6647 Long-90.7061 DD50
black cutworm model - UC DavisLocation: 2017 D3006 Harrisburg DW3006 AR 1910 D3006 PRISM_rev1_4km 2007-2016 AVERAGES Date | DDs | Event |
5-18-17 | 106 | First egg laying |
5-22-17 | 189 | First egg hatch |
6-2-17 | 424 | Small larvae |
6-5-17 | 502 | First 4th instar |
6-13-17 | 707 | Large larvae |
6-17-17 | 826 | First pupae |
6-23-17 | 1003 | Last large larvae |